CGS 3063
Computers in Modern Society
Predicting the Future
? 1. Invent it yourself.
? 2. Look at current reseach.
? 3. Understand how technology evolves.
Predicting the Future
? 1. Invent it yourself!!                        				-Alan Kay
Predicting the Future
? 2. Look at Current Research
- A.  Some research is secret.
- B.  10 year lag between research and market.	
Predicting the Future
? 3. Evolution of technology.
- A.  Hardware
- B.  Software
- C.  "Way of Life"
Predicting the Future Evolution of Technology - Computers
? A.  Hardware
- 1. Speed
- 2. Efficiency
- 3. Cost
Predicting the Future
? Evolution of Technology - Computers
? B.  Software
- 1. Can't write error-free code
- 2. Moving away from the keyboard
Predicting the Future
? Evolution of Technology - Computers
? C.  "Way of Life"
- 1. Original goal:  X persons per computer
- 2. Then:  1 person per computer
- 3. Now:  1 person per X computers